I haven’t read any polling for either race…Here is my gut feel
Virginia
Hillary wins
McCain wins
Maryland
Hillary wins
McCain wins
DC
Obama wins
McCain wins
Wouldn’t be surprised if either huck or obama won Virginia. Although, I believe that Virginia is actually a “must win”, but not for Hillary, for Obama. She can at least fall back on the specter of Texas, Ohio and PA in March and April. The Obama momentum wave needs wins. IF Hillary wins Virginia, look for her to declare victory against the Obama momentum, and look for her people to spin this as a repudiation of Obama’s chances against McCain in the general election.
UPDATE: Rasmussen Feb 6-7 poll has Obama up 55-37 on Hillary, so my prediction could be way way off. That would be an absolute thrashing by Obama in a state where there should be enough DC democratic presence to make the Clintons’ competitive. If that holds up in the Primary results tonight, I fully expect the Clintons to go nuclear. One final thing to note, Hillary’s stump speeches seem to be a bit heavy on the policy. Bill’s have been a bit more simplified, with an updated version of the message “It’s the economy stupid.” Look for Bill’s influence to increase if she gets slaughtered in Va.
